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MM prices seem to be stabilising

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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-10, 12:56

They seem to be more or less on the same level for a week now, which is kinda interesting.

I would have rather seem them stabilize at a much lower point and at a fixed number than at 750-700-ish, but ok. (especially as a lower rate would support gold sales at a loss by people who are in a hurry to sell)


What are the predictions for the future?

I personally think there are 2 valiable options:
-The first scenario implies the admins realising their plan to drop the CC didn't worked out as good as they thought/hoped it would be and abandon the plan of fixing the MM. Prices will start rising again in the very near future. A continued stabilisation around this point seems very unlikely.
This scenario seems very likely. Once prices start increasing again, I predict a gold frenzy of people wanting to get rid of their CC as fast as possible. Social/psychological factors will then takeover the market, giving it it's final push back down again.

-the second scenario implies admins creating more CC drains (see airstrikes), upping the bot, pumping more gold in the market (though that would only have temporary effects)



Thought the first scenario is the most likely, I'd hold to your dicks and your CC as it's still very uncertain something new might be lurking around the corner.
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Post by SX80 2012-09-10, 23:24

hi Shadowucks,

I think they will continue to drop a while further, void of outside interference by admins. I do agree that you never know what those sneaky bastards are up to though

What is less obvious is that in 4 days, 12 pages, so 120 offers of BEF for sale at 0.002 have disappeared, either sold, or more likely withdrawn from the market as they need their CC themselves.

So I don't think we hit bottom yet
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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-11, 00:15

SX80 wrote:hi Shadowucks,

I think they will continue to drop a while further, void of outside interference by admins. I do agree that you never know what those sneaky bastards are up to though

What is less obvious is that in 4 days, 12 pages, so 120 offers of BEF for sale at 0.002 have disappeared, either sold, or more likely withdrawn from the market as they need their CC themselves.

So I don't think we hit bottom yet


I noticed that as well. I think many are cashing in or are going to cash in. Should be interesting days ahead.


Anyway, I picked up a rumour from a friend of a friend of an admin that might bring some fun in the near future.
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Post by cliffie 2012-09-12, 12:43

The last update will increase the value of gold, i think.
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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-12, 12:50

yea, most definately


should be good to buy gold now and sell over the course of the next days
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Post by cliffie 2012-09-12, 14:07

I wake up too late today :p

http://www.lokisrevenge.de/pricegetter/index.html

at 00.00 gold price went up of 60 CC
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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-12, 17:00

waiting for it to hit 900


then I'm selling


What could also happen is that we see a surge in the next few days but a steep decline in the coming days because ppl won't need to spend so much on training anymore.
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Post by cliffie 2012-09-12, 17:20

shadowukcs wrote:waiting for it to hit 900


then I'm selling


What could also happen is that we see a surge in the next few days but a steep decline in the coming days because ppl won't need to spend so much on training anymore.
900 CC is page 52.
there's a lot of gold to be sold before yours.
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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-12, 17:26

cliffie wrote:
shadowukcs wrote:waiting for it to hit 900


then I'm selling


What could also happen is that we see a surge in the next few days but a steep decline in the coming days because ppl won't need to spend so much on training anymore.
900 CC is page 52.
there's a lot of gold to be sold before yours.

When it hit 0,001 it sold 42 pages in a few hours.



Also, did you notice how they made a -44%, a training contract and a 33% extra gold offer at the same time?


shows clearly that they are trying to balance it all out. Currently it's not yet working tho
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Post by shadowukcs 2012-09-13, 11:33

As predicted, prices have been balanced again and dropped in the course of last night. We're almost back on the regular level.


A very good sign imo. It shows that the market is stabilizing itself and will become more and more resistant to fluctuations in the future.
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Post by cliffie 2012-09-13, 22:03

shadowukcs wrote:As predicted, prices have been balanced again and dropped in the course of last night. We're almost back on the regular level.


A very good sign imo. It shows that the market is stabilizing itself and will become more and more resistant to fluctuations in the future.

You predicted to sell at 900 CC :S
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Post by cliffie 2013-01-21, 19:05

Down Down Down

MM at 280 CC
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Post by SX80 2013-01-21, 19:27

There are no certainties anymore in life ... Evil or Very Mad
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Post by Olv007 2013-01-21, 19:50

cliffie wrote:Down Down Down

MM at 280 CC

So is eRep: down down down :p
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Post by Jofroi 2013-01-21, 20:40

Soon we'll reach the highest possible level: 0.006^^
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Post by Teddy beer eBe 2013-01-21, 23:33

Damn! This morning i paid 300Bef for 1G.
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Post by tecuvo 2013-01-22, 08:51

Tvvince wrote:Damn! This morning i paid 300Bef for 1G.

love it Very Happy
But it has to be 173cc for 1 gold. Then I can replace all my q4 to q5 raws, without losing money


/me keeps daydreaming
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Post by JdlF 2013-01-22, 09:01

tecuvo wrote:
Tvvince wrote:Damn! This morning i paid 300Bef for 1G.

love it Very Happy
But it has to be 173cc for 1 gold. Then I can replace all my q4 to q5 raws, without losing money


/me keeps daydreaming

Not necessarily dreaming Smile

It's a fact golds are way easier to get right now. And if we compare; we needed something like 5 to 10 times our wages to get a gold while at this time we need between 10 (at the very least) and 30. So my guess is: it's not stabilized yet. And should still go down.
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Post by Jofroi 2013-01-22, 16:49

It will if admins don't change anything, reason is simple: No money is added in the game but some is removed (MPP etc). Therefore it has to go down on long term Wink.
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Post by Gyantse 2013-01-22, 17:08

tecuvo wrote:


/me keeps daydreaming

Dreaming ........... Sleep

www.erepublik.com/en/article/2198687/1/20
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Post by Cotarius 2013-01-29, 06:42

tecuvo wrote:
Tvvince wrote:Damn! This morning i paid 300Bef for 1G.

love it Very Happy
But it has to be 173cc for 1 gold. Then I can replace all my q4 to q5 raws, without losing money


/me keeps daydreaming


Your dream is getting closer
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Post by tecuvo 2013-01-29, 09:08

the TG promo will delay it a bit
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Post by RooieLente 2013-01-29, 09:10

Exactly...there goes my hard earned gold :p
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Post by tecuvo 2013-01-31, 10:41

it's 300 again

affraid
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Post by Teddy beer eBe 2013-01-31, 13:08

Damn! i sold my gold too soon. Evil or Very Mad
I hope the price will go down when the discount is over.
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Post by shadowukcs 2013-01-31, 23:25

they will
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Post by JdlF 2013-02-08, 09:39

shadowukcs wrote:they will

True, and i would not be surprised if they go to 260/270 soon.
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Post by Teddy beer eBe 2013-02-08, 10:31

Now I put my gold in the market at 290.
The day there is an interesting discount the prices seems to increase.
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Post by shadowukcs 2013-02-08, 19:12

Tvvince wrote:Now I put my gold in the market at 290.
The day there is an interesting discount the prices seems to increase.

logical consequence of an increase in the demand of gold.
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Post by cliffie 2013-03-27, 22:40

Gold mines: prices down.

It seems that the admins want to reach the 200 CC/Gold ratio.
Then they might try to eliminate either CC or Gold.
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Post by boer jan 2013-03-27, 22:44

héhé, goldmines without value, logic if they want to continue to sell gold
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